The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Brings Forth Another Crisis

As the Russia v. Ukraine conflict rages on for what is soon to be a full year, analysts are warning that food supplies might be in danger this year.

University of Edinburgh’s Peter Alexander, the man who conducted the study, believes cheap food isn’t long for this world and the upcoming famine will impact the lowest-income individuals the hardest.

Better stock up while you still can!

We’ve already seen the effects the war between the two countries has had in the region and across the world, but food security may end up being the worst one yet.

The main reason for this change is likely to be a shortage of fertilizer, which is heavily exported from Ukraine. With the Russian invasion, the security of this resource has become threatened.

Fertilizers basically helped revolutionize agriculture across the globe; it’s what’s allowed us to provide cheap, affordable food for regions of the world that just can’t access it.

Apart from this, both Ukraine and Russia are large exporters of food, with the conflict causing a decline in grain and fertilizer export from both countries.

Unfortunately, the soaring prices may only be the start of a much greater issue. Alexander believes it’ll send ripples through the rest of the world, causing food to be even more expensive.

A global famine is inbound

There was a common misconception that food price increases were caused directly by a disrupted supply, but a further examination of the issue found the lack of fertilizer was much more taxing.

This led to both an increase in food costs, as well as a decline in crop yields, which in turn, led to even greater food price surges.

Ultimately, the problem became a wicked circle that is bound to spiral out of control and cause a global famine, leaving the poorest demographics without access to any food, not just the affordable kind.

To fully present the scale of this issue, Alexander’s team of analysts used a computer simulation to display the results of the export restrictions paired with a shortage of fertilizer. By 2040, the report is devastating.

What is worse is that there is no conceivable way to solve this issue any time in the near future, as the lower crop yields will lead to mass scale deforestation, pulling along additional issues.

While this does somewhat compensate for the losses, it would lead to the global agricultural area increasing by almost the size of Western Europe, heavily impacting climate change.

The moral of the story is that global food security is in danger and if the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues, we may not be able to recover from the aftermath that follows.

Stock up, it does not look good!